Today / Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana / Dock Sud vs Brown de A.

Dock Sud vs Brown de A. Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 17:30

Dock Sud

PPG 1.67 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Brown de A.

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-024.1%0-110.3%0-22.2%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-024.0%1-110.3%1-22.2%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-011.9%2-15.1%2-21.1%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-04.0%3-11.7%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-10.5%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.3% 43.5% 2.30 +8.8%

Draw 32.8% 37.0% 2.70 -11.4%

Away win 20.0% 29.4% 3.40 -19.2%

Over 2.5 25.8% 29.9% 3.35 -8.1%

Over 3.5 12.5% 13.3% 7.50 -3.8%

BTTS 41.8% 39.2% 2.55 +6.6%

Home O1.5 26.3% 31.3% 3.20 -9.5%

Away O1.5 6.9% 22.2% 4.50 -41.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob41.8%

H 47% / xG 1.0-0.4 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 24.1%

#2 1–0 24.0%

#3 2–0 11.9%

#4 1–1 10.3%

#5 0–1✓ 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dock Sud1.0

Brown de A.0.4

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.8% · O3.5 PROB 12.5%

Form & verdict PPG

DOCK SUD · PPG 1.67

BROWN DE A. · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Dock Sud (H) 47.3%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +8.8%

Draw 32.8%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -11.4%

Brown de A. (A) 20.0%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -19.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dock Sud face Brown de A. in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dock Sud a 47% chance, the draw 33% and Brown de A. 20%, so Dock Sud are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Dock Sud and 0.4 for Brown de A. (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dock Sud are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.00 for Brown de A.. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +8.8%. This match finished 0-1.

Dock Sud vs Brown de A. Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana Predictions