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Comunicaciones vs D. Armenio Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Matchday 18 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 17:30

Comunicaciones

PPG 1.89 · HOME

LAST 5

LDWLW

0 – 1

FULL TIME

D. Armenio

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLLW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.2%0-19.3%0-22.9%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.3%1-111.9%1-23.7%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.2%2-17.5%2-22.3%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.2%3-13.2%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-11.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.9% 46.5% 2.15 +7.3%

Draw 29.1% 35.1% 2.85 -10.2%

Away win 21.0% 27.8% 3.60 -14.6%

Over 2.5 35.9% 35.7% 2.80 +0.5%

Over 3.5 22.5% 18.2% 5.50 +14.2%

BTTS 47.2% 44.4% 2.25 +6.2%

Home O1.5 36.3% 37.0% 2.70 -2.0%

Away O1.5 12.7% 23.8% 4.20 -28.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 173 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 68%

ROI 17.6%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.2%

H 50% / xG 1.3-0.6 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 19.3%

#2 0–0 15.2%

#3 1–1 11.9%

#4 2–0 12.2%

#5 0–1✓ 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Comunicaciones1.3

D. Armenio0.6

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.9% · O3.5 PROB 22.5%

Form & verdict PPG

COMUNICACIONES · PPG 1.89

D. ARMENIO · PPG 0.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

Chance this pick lands

50%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.89) vs P(Home)=49.9%

Win probability 1X2

Comunicaciones (H) 49.9%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV +7.3%

Draw 29.1%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -10.2%

D. Armenio (A) 21.0%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -14.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Comunicaciones face D. Armenio in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Comunicaciones a 50% chance, the draw 29% and D. Armenio 21%, so Comunicaciones are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Comunicaciones and 0.6 for D. Armenio (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Comunicaciones are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 0.78 for D. Armenio. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +14.2%. This match finished 0-1.

Comunicaciones vs D. Armenio Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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