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Rosenborg W vs LSK Kvinner W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 15:00

Rosenborg W

PPG 2.50 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

LSK Kvinner W

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 60.5% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-15.3%0-22.6%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.5%1-110.3%1-25.0%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.2%2-19.9%2-24.9%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.6%3-16.4%3-23.1%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-04.9%4+-14.8%4+-22.4%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.7% 80.0% 1.25 -32.9%

Draw 22.6% 20.0% 5.00 +7.8%

Away win 23.6% 11.1% 9.00 +67.4%

Over 2.5 60.5% 69.4% 1.44 -12.9%

Over 3.5 38.1% 50.0% 2.00 -23.8%

BTTS 56.7% 57.1% 1.75 -0.8%

Home O1.5 57.7% 70.9% 1.41 -18.6%

Away O1.5 25.6% 23.5% 4.25 +5.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 27%

ROI -48.0%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob56.7%

H 54% / xG 1.9-1.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 2–0 10.2%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 10.5%

#5 0–0 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rosenborg W1.9

LSK Kvinner W1.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 38.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ROSENBORG W · PPG 2.50

LSK KVINNER W · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=53.7%

Win probability 1X2

Rosenborg W (H) 53.7%

ODDS 1.25 · IMPLIED 80.0% EV -32.9%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +7.8%

LSK Kvinner W (A) 23.6%

ODDS 9.00 · IMPLIED 11.1% EV +67.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rosenborg W face LSK Kvinner W in Norway - Toppserien on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rosenborg W a 54% chance, the draw 23% and LSK Kvinner W 24%, so Rosenborg W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Rosenborg W and 1.0 for LSK Kvinner W (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rosenborg W are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.33 for LSK Kvinner W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +67.4%. This match finished 0-1.

Rosenborg W vs LSK Kvinner W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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