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Bollstanas vs Sunnersta Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand - 10 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 14:00

Bollstanas

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY O1.5

Sunnersta

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 74.7% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6% — a clear edge.

+23.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-15.4%0-27.2%0-36.4%0-4+8.2%1 1-02.5%1-16.6%1-28.9%1-37.9%1-4+10.1%2 2-01.5%2-14.1%2-25.4%2-34.9%2-4+6.2%3 3-00.6%3-11.7%3-22.2%3-32.0%3-4+2.5%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.7%4+-20.9%4+-30.8%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 18.6% 35.7% 2.80 -28.7%

Draw 21.2% 26.7% 3.75 -12.3%

Away win 60.2% 47.6% 2.10 +26.4%

Over 2.5 65.8% 71.4% 1.40 -7.9%

Over 3.5 43.1% 50.0% 2.00 -13.8%

BTTS 61.0% 73.5% 1.36 -17.0%

Home O1.5 34.8% 52.4% 1.91 -33.5%

Away O1.5 74.7% 60.6% 1.65 +23.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -22.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.7 BTTS prob61.0%

A 60% / xG 1.2-2.7 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.9%

#2 1–3 7.9%

#3 1–1✓ 6.6%

#4 0–2 7.2%

#5 0–3 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bollstanas1.2

Sunnersta2.7

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BOLLSTANAS · PPG 1.00

SUNNERSTA · PPG 1.80

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.80) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Bollstanas (H) 18.6%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -28.7%

Draw 21.2%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -12.3%

Sunnersta (A) 60.2%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +26.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bollstanas face Sunnersta in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bollstanas a 19% chance, the draw 21% and Sunnersta 60%, so Sunnersta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Bollstanas and 2.7 for Sunnersta (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bollstanas are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.80 for Sunnersta. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +55.7%. This match finished 1-1.

Bollstanas vs Sunnersta Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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