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Finland - Veikkausliiga logo Finland flag Finland - Veikkausliiga Regular Season - 9 Lahden Stadion· Lahti Saturday, May 30, 2026 14:00
Lahti logo Lahti PPG 1.25
5-0 MISS
Ilves logo Ilves PPG 0.60
Over3.5· +1.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.7%
Odds: 2.42 EV: -8.8%
Draw 27.1%
Odds: 3.15 EV: -8.8%
Away 35.2%
Odds: 2.76 EV: -2.9%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.5% Odds: 2.05 -0.6%
Over 3.5 27.9% Odds: 3.65 +1.1%
BTTS 55.3% Odds: 1.75 -3.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Lahti
1.28
Ilves
1.18

Model Suggestion

BTTS -3.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -3.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+1.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.60)

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