Finland - VeikkausliigaRegular Season - 9Lahden Stadion· LahtiSaturday, May 30, 202614:00
LahtiPPG 1.25
5-0MISS
IlvesPPG 0.60
Over3.5· +1.1%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home37.7%
Odds: 2.42EV: -8.8%
Draw27.1%
Odds: 3.15EV: -8.8%
Away35.2%
Odds: 2.76EV: -2.9%
Model lean: BTTSNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.548.5%Odds: 2.05-0.6%
Over 3.527.9%Odds: 3.65+1.1%
BTTS55.3%Odds: 1.75-3.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st1-1✘
2nd0-0✘
3rd1-0✘
4th2-1✘
5th0-1✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Lahti
1.28
Ilves
1.18
Model Suggestion
BTTS-3.2%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -3.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+1.1%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.60)