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KuPS vs Inter Turku Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Matchday 9 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 14:00

KuPS

PPG 2.33 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWLL

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Inter Turku

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWDW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.3%0-113.5%0-26.8%0-32.3%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.4%1-113.5%1-26.8%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-06.7%2-16.8%2-23.4%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.3%3-12.3%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.1% 41.0% 2.44 -14.4%

Draw 29.7% 30.8% 3.25 -2.1%

Away win 35.3% 37.0% 2.70 -4.7%

Over 2.5 46.2% 47.6% 2.10 -3.0%

Over 3.5 27.7% 26.7% 3.75 +2.3%

BTTS 47.2% 55.6% 1.80 -15.0%

Home O1.5 26.6% 40.8% 2.45 -20.9%

Away O1.5 26.8% 37.7% 2.65 -17.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 84 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 13.4%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.2%

D 30% / xG 1.0-1.0 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.5%

#2 0–0 13.3%

#3 0–1 13.5%

#4 1–0 13.4%

#5 1–2 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KuPS1.0

Inter Turku1.0

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KUPS · PPG 2.33

INTER TURKU · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

47%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.33), Away EXCELLENT (2.25)

Win probability 1X2

KuPS (H) 35.1%

ODDS 2.44 · IMPLIED 41.0% EV -14.4%

Draw 29.7%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -2.1%

Inter Turku (A) 35.3%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -4.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

KuPS face Inter Turku in Finland - Veikkausliiga on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KuPS a 35% chance, the draw 30% and Inter Turku 35%, so Inter Turku are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for KuPS and 1.0 for Inter Turku (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KuPS are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 2.25 for Inter Turku. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +2.3%. This match finished 1-1.

KuPS vs Inter Turku Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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