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Gomel vs Dinamo Brest Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Matchday 10 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:00

Gomel

PPG 1.75 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWDW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Dinamo Brest

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLDL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.2%0-115.2%0-26.7%0-32.0%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.1%1-113.3%1-25.9%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-06.6%2-15.8%2-22.6%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.9%3-11.7%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.4% 40.0% 2.50 -14.0%

Draw 33.2% 34.5% 2.90 -3.7%

Away win 32.4% 37.0% 2.70 -12.5%

Over 2.5 34.0% 45.9% 2.18 -25.9%

Over 3.5 18.6% 27.6% 3.62 -19.6%

BTTS 47.2% 54.1% 1.85 -12.7%

Home O1.5 22.0% 38.3% 2.61 -25.6%

Away O1.5 22.1% 34.7% 2.88 -21.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -100.0%

Bet Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.2%

D 33% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.2%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–1 15.2%

#4 1–0 15.1%

#5 0–2 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gomel0.9

Dinamo Brest0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GOMEL · PPG 1.75

DINAMO BREST · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

47%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.60)

Win probability 1X2

Gomel (H) 34.4%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -14.0%

Draw 33.2%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -3.7%

Dinamo Brest (A) 32.4%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -12.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gomel face Dinamo Brest in Belarus - Premier League on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gomel a 34% chance, the draw 33% and Dinamo Brest 32%, so Gomel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Gomel and 0.9 for Dinamo Brest (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gomel are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.60 for Dinamo Brest. This match finished 2-1.

Gomel vs Dinamo Brest Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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