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Haugesund W vs Roa W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 12:00

Haugesund W

PPG 0.75 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Roa W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-16.5%0-25.0%0-32.5%0-4+1.4%1 1-07.0%1-110.6%1-28.1%1-34.1%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.7%2-18.6%2-26.6%2-33.3%2-4+1.8%3 3-03.1%3-14.7%3-23.6%3-31.8%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.7%4+-22.1%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.7% — — —

Draw 23.3% — — —

Away win 37.0% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.5% — — —

BTTS 61.0% — — —

Home O1.5 48.4% — — —

Away O1.5 45.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 27%

ROI -48.0%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.0%

H 40% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 2–1✓ 8.6%

#3 1–2 8.1%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–0 4.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Haugesund W1.6

Roa W1.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HAUGESUND W · PPG 0.75

ROA W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.75), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Haugesund W (H) 39.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Roa W (A) 37.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Haugesund W face Roa W in Norway - Toppserien on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haugesund W a 40% chance, the draw 23% and Roa W 37%, so Haugesund W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Haugesund W and 1.5 for Roa W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haugesund W are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.00 for Roa W. This match finished 2-1.

Haugesund W vs Roa W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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