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Aalesund W vs Brann W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 12:00

Aalesund W

PPG 2.50 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Brann W

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.50) vs Away EXCELLENT (3.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-113.1%0-214.4%0-310.6%0-4+9.7%1 1-03.7%1-18.1%1-28.9%1-36.6%1-4+6.0%2 2-01.1%2-12.5%2-22.8%2-32.0%2-4+1.9%3 3-00.2%3-10.5%3-20.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.4% — — —

Draw 20.8% — — —

Away win 65.8% — — —

Over 2.5 60.1% — — —

Over 3.5 36.2% — — —

BTTS 51.6% — — —

Home O1.5 12.9% — — —

Away O1.5 64.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 27%

ROI -48.0%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 53%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob51.6%

A 66% / xG 0.6-2.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 14.4%

#2 0–1 13.1%

#3 0–3 10.6%

#4 1–1 8.1%

#5 1–2✓ 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Aalesund W0.6

Brann W2.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

AALESUND W · PPG 2.50

BRANN W · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.50) vs Away EXCELLENT (3.00)

Win probability 1X2

Aalesund W (H) 13.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Brann W (A) 65.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Aalesund W face Brann W in Norway - Toppserien on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aalesund W a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Brann W 66%, so Brann W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Aalesund W and 2.2 for Brann W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aalesund W are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 3.00 for Brann W. This match finished 1-2.

Aalesund W vs Brann W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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