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Lithuania - 1 Lyga logo Lithuania flag Lithuania - 1 Lyga Regular Season - 12 Saturday, May 30, 2026 12:00
Atmosfera logo Atmosfera PPG 0.83
2-0 HIT CS3
Zalgiris B logo Zalgiris B PPG 0.80
AwayO15· +0.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.7%
Odds: 1.62 EV: -13.0%
Draw 22.6%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -7.1%
Away 23.6%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -1.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.3% Odds: 1.50 -5.1%
Over 3.5 39.5% Odds: 2.30 -9.2%
BTTS 61.0% Odds: 1.60 -2.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Atmosfera
1.89
Zalgiris B
1.13

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -5.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -5.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: AwayO15 (+0.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 54%
ROI -53.9%
Bet Hit 27% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.83), Away POOR (0.80)

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