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Estonia - Meistriliiga logo Estonia flag Estonia - Meistriliiga Regular Season - 14 Parnu Rannastaadion· Parnu Saturday, May 30, 2026 11:30
Vaprus logo Vaprus PPG 1.17
3-1 MISS
Nomme Kalju logo Nomme Kalju PPG 2.50
AwayO15· -4.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 13.4%
Odds: 6.00 EV: -11.8%
Draw 20.8%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -10.1%
Away 65.8%
Odds: 1.44 EV: -5.3%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.5% Odds: 1.65 -10.1%
Over 3.5 32.5% Odds: 2.62 -14.8%
BTTS 47.2% Odds: 1.75 -17.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2
2nd 0-1
3rd 0-3
4th 1-1
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Vaprus
0.61
Nomme Kalju
2.17

Model Suggestion

Away -5.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -5.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5/Under 65%
BTTS/No 46%
Score Hit 39%
ROI -3.3%
Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home AVERAGE (1.17)

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