Today / Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand / Taby vs Skiljebo

Taby vs Skiljebo Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand - 10 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 11:00

Taby

PPG 1.60 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Skiljebo

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.3% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.0%0-111.7%0-28.5%0-34.1%0-4+2.1%1 1-08.6%1-112.5%1-29.1%1-34.4%1-4+2.2%2 2-04.6%2-16.7%2-24.8%2-32.4%2-4+1.2%3 3-01.6%3-12.4%3-21.7%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.8%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.7% 45.5% 2.20 -32.5%

Draw 26.9% 28.6% 3.50 -3.5%

Away win 42.4% 35.7% 2.80 +18.7%

Over 2.5 50.7% 66.7% 1.50 -23.9%

Over 3.5 29.7% 45.5% 2.20 -20.8%

BTTS 55.3% 70.4% 1.42 -21.5%

Home O1.5 29.0% 56.5% 1.77 -29.2%

Away O1.5 42.7% 50.0% 2.00 -14.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -22.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob55.3%

A 42% / xG 1.1-1.5 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–0 8.0%

#3 0–1 11.7%

#4 1–2 9.1%

#5 0–2 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Taby1.1

Skiljebo1.5

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.7% · O3.5 PROB 29.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TABY · PPG 1.60

SKILJEBO · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home GOOD (1.60)

Win probability 1X2

Taby (H) 30.7%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -32.5%

Draw 26.9%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -3.5%

Skiljebo (A) 42.4%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +18.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Taby face Skiljebo in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Taby a 31% chance, the draw 27% and Skiljebo 42%, so Skiljebo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Taby and 1.5 for Skiljebo (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Taby are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 2.50 for Skiljebo. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +18.7%. This match finished 1-0.

Taby vs Skiljebo Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand Predictions