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Enskede vs Ängby Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand - 10 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 11:00

Enskede

PPG 2.50 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Ängby

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.3% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-18.3%0-25.5%0-32.4%0-4+1.1%1 1-09.1%1-112.0%1-27.9%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.6%2-18.7%2-25.7%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.2%3-14.2%3-22.8%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.1%4+-21.4%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 38.3% 1.73 -33.7%

Draw 26.0% 3.95 +1.6%

Away win 35.7% 3.80 +35.7%

Over 2.5 53.5% 1.53 -18.1%

Over 3.5 32.0% 2.35 -24.8%

BTTS 55.3% 1.50 -17.1%

Win probability 1X2

Enskede (H) 38.3%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -33.7%

Draw 26.0%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV +1.6%

Ängby (A) 35.7%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +35.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -4.8%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob55.3%

H 38% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 0–0 6.3%

#4 1–2 7.9%

#5 1–0 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Enskede1.4

Ängby1.3

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ENSKEDE · PPG 2.50

ÄNGBY · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.50) > Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Match Preview & Prediction

Enskede face Ängby in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Enskede a 38% chance, the draw 26% and Ängby 36%, so Enskede are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Enskede and 1.3 for Ängby (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Enskede are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 2.00 for Ängby. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +35.7%. This match finished 2-2.

Enskede vs Ängby Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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