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Lithuania - 1 Lyga Saturday, May 30, 2026 11:00 
Tauras PPG 2.40 
Hegelmann B PPG 0.80
Lithuania - 1 Lyga Saturday, May 30, 2026 11:00 Tauras PPG 2.406-1 MISS
Hegelmann B PPG 0.80Away· +16.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 60.1% Odds: 1.40 -15.9%
Over 3.5 37.2% Odds: 1.90 -29.3%
BTTS 55.3% Odds: 1.55 -14.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Tauras 2.13
Hegelmann B 0.83
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -15.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -15.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+16.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+16.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 28 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 61%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 54%
ROI -53.9%
Bet Hit 27% (11 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=57.2%