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Incheon W vs Suwon FMC W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 10:00

Incheon W

PPG 1.80 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

Suwon FMC W

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-112.5%0-27.0%0-32.6%0-4+0.9%1 1-012.0%1-113.4%1-27.5%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-06.4%2-17.2%2-24.0%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.3%3-12.6%3-21.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.9%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.3% 29.0% 3.45 +21.8%

Draw 29.2% 31.3% 3.20 -3.9%

Away win 35.5% 51.3% 1.95 -30.8%

Over 2.5 46.2% 52.6% 1.90 -12.2%

Over 3.5 27.7% 28.6% 3.50 -1.8%

BTTS 48.1% 54.1% 1.85 -11.0%

Home O1.5 29.1% 32.3% 3.10 -5.9%

Away O1.5 30.7% 46.5% 2.15 -34.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 22%

ROI 26.4%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.1%

D 29% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 11.2%

#3 0–1 12.5%

#4 1–0 12.0%

#5 1–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Incheon W1.1

Suwon FMC W1.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

INCHEON W · PPG 1.80

SUWON FMC W · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.80) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.25)

Win probability 1X2

Incheon W (H) 35.3%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV +21.8%

Draw 29.2%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -3.9%

Suwon FMC W (A) 35.5%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -30.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Incheon W face Suwon FMC W in South-Korea - WK-League on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Incheon W a 35% chance, the draw 29% and Suwon FMC W 36%, so Suwon FMC W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Incheon W and 1.1 for Suwon FMC W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Incheon W are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 2.25 for Suwon FMC W. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +21.8%. This match finished 0-4.

Incheon W vs Suwon FMC W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Match Preview & Prediction

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