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Australia - New South Wales NPL logo Australia flag Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 17 Marconi Stadium· Sydney Saturday, May 30, 2026 09:00
Marconi S. logo Marconi S. PPG 3.00
1-1 HIT CS5
Rockdale logo Rockdale PPG 1.43
Home + Over 2.5· +19.6% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 64.3%
Odds: 1.57 EV: +0.9%
Draw 20.8%
Odds: 3.95 EV: -10.7%
Away 14.9%
Odds: 4.80 EV: -17.1%
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.1% Odds: 1.53 -1.9%
Over 3.5 43.1% Odds: 2.30 -0.9%
BTTS 55.3% Odds: 1.55 -14.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 2-1
3rd 3-0
4th 3-1
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Marconi S.
2.66
Rockdale
0.89

Model Suggestion

Home +0.9% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Home + Over 2.5(+19.6%)

League Track Record

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 46%
Score Hit 37%
ROI 17.4%
Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=64.3%

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