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Australia - Queensland Premier League logo Australia flag Australia - Queensland Premier League Regular Season - 13 Saturday, May 30, 2026 08:30
Logan Lightning logo Logan Lightning PPG 1.00
VS PENDING
Holland Park H. logo Holland Park H. PPG 1.40
Away + Over 2.5· +37.8% ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away
65% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.6%
Odds: 1.80 EV: -23.3%
Draw 21.6%
Odds: 3.95 EV: -8.8%
Away 35.7%
Odds: 3.40 EV: +21.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.8% Odds: 1.33 -12.5%
Over 3.5 45.5% Odds: 1.80 -18.1%
BTTS 63.5% Odds: 1.30 -17.4%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-2
3rd 1-2
4th 2-1
5th 2-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Logan Lightning
2.00
Holland Park H.
2.02

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -12.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -12.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away + Over 2.5 (+37.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5/Under 77%
BTTS/No 65%
Score Hit 35%

Verdict & Form

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away
65%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.40)

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