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Australia - Western Australia State League 1 logo Australia flag Australia - Western Australia State League 1 Regular Season - 10 Len Shearer Reserve Saturday, May 30, 2026 07:00
Murdoch M. logo Murdoch M. PPG 1.33
3-1 MISS
Kingsley logo Kingsley PPG 1.50
Away + Over 2.5· +14.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.8%
Odds: 2.20 EV: -19.0%
Draw 22.0%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -15.1%
Away 41.2%
Odds: 2.50 EV: +3.0%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.3% Odds: 1.44 -6.0%
Over 3.5 43.1% Odds: 2.08 -10.3%
BTTS 63.4% Odds: 1.40 -11.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 2-2
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Murdoch M.
1.63
Kingsley
1.83

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -6.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -6.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away + Over 2.5 (+14.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 32%
O2.5/Under 63%
BTTS/No 53%
Score Hit 37%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away GOOD (1.50)

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