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Australia - Western Australia State League 1 logo Australia flag Australia - Western Australia State League 1 Regular Season - 10 Securitas Protect Stadium Saturday, May 30, 2026 07:00
Mandurah City logo Mandurah City PPG 1.50
2-1 MISS
Floreat Athena logo Floreat Athena PPG 1.67
Home· +6.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.0%
Odds: 3.80 EV: +6.1%
Draw 23.4%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -10.9%
Away 47.5%
Odds: 1.73 EV: -17.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.1% Odds: 1.44 -7.7%
Over 3.5 40.8% Odds: 2.02 -17.6%
BTTS 61.0% Odds: 1.40 -14.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 1-3
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Mandurah City
1.29
Floreat Athena
2.00

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -7.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+6.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.67)

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