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Inglewood Utd vs Cockburn City Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 07:00

Inglewood Utd

PPG 0.83 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Cockburn City

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.3% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-19.0%0-26.3%0-32.9%0-4+1.4%1 1-08.7%1-112.1%1-28.4%1-33.9%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.8%2-18.2%2-25.7%2-32.6%2-4+1.3%3 3-02.6%3-13.7%3-22.6%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.7%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.6% 55.6% 1.80 -32.3%

Draw 26.9% 30.3% 3.30 -6.7%

Away win 35.6% 26.7% 3.75 +33.5%

Over 2.5 53.5% 61.7% 1.62 -13.3%

Over 3.5 32.0% 40.7% 2.46 -21.3%

BTTS 55.3% 63.7% 1.57 -13.2%

Home O1.5 39.0% 59.2% 1.69 -34.1%

Away O1.5 40.7% 36.8% 2.72 +10.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 2.1%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.3%

A 36% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 0–0 6.4%

#4 2–1✓ 8.2%

#5 0–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inglewood Utd1.3

Cockburn City1.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.0%

Form & verdict PPG

INGLEWOOD UTD · PPG 0.83

COCKBURN CITY · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.83) > Away POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Inglewood Utd (H) 37.6%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -32.3%

Draw 26.9%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -6.7%

Cockburn City (A) 35.6%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +33.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Inglewood Utd face Cockburn City in Australia - Western Australia State League 1 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inglewood Utd a 38% chance, the draw 27% and Cockburn City 36%, so Inglewood Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Inglewood Utd and 1.4 for Cockburn City (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inglewood Utd are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 0.50 for Cockburn City. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +33.5%. This match finished 2-1.

Inglewood Utd vs Cockburn City Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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