Today / Australia - Western Australia State League 1 / Curtin U. vs Joondalup City

Curtin U. vs Joondalup City Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 07:00

Curtin U.

PPG 0.00 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Joondalup City

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.4% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.1%0-113.1%0-210.6%0-35.7%0-4+3.3%1 1-07.3%1-111.7%1-29.5%1-35.1%1-4+3.0%2 2-03.3%2-15.3%2-24.3%2-32.3%2-4+1.3%3 3-01.0%3-11.6%3-21.3%3-30.7%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.0% 26.7% 3.75 +3.0%

Draw 25.5% 25.6% 3.90 -0.3%

Away win 46.5% 59.9% 1.67 -22.4%

Over 2.5 53.5% 66.7% 1.50 -19.8%

Over 3.5 32.2% 45.2% 2.21 -28.8%

BTTS 54.4% 66.7% 1.50 -18.4%

Home O1.5 22.7% 39.4% 2.54 -25.4%

Away O1.5 48.1% 66.2% 1.51 -27.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 2.1%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob54.4%

A 46% / xG 0.9-1.6 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 0–1 13.1%

#3 0–2✓ 10.6%

#4 0–0 8.1%

#5 1–2 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Curtin U.0.9

Joondalup City1.6

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

CURTIN U. · PPG 0.00

JOONDALUP CITY · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Curtin U. (H) 28.0%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +3.0%

Draw 25.5%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -0.3%

Joondalup City (A) 46.5%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -22.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Curtin U. face Joondalup City in Australia - Western Australia State League 1 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Curtin U. a 28% chance, the draw 26% and Joondalup City 47%, so Joondalup City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Curtin U. and 1.6 for Joondalup City (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Curtin U. are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Joondalup City. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +3.0%. This match finished 0-2.

Curtin U. vs Joondalup City Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - Western Australia State League 1 Predictions