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Australia - New South Wales NPL logo Australia flag Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 17 Cromer Park· Sydney Saturday, May 30, 2026 07:00
Manly Utd logo Manly Utd PPG 1.57
0-0 HIT CS3
Blacktown City logo Blacktown City PPG 0.88
Over3.5· +5.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.6%
Odds: 2.10 EV: -4.2%
Draw 25.8%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -5.8%
Away 28.7%
Odds: 2.90 EV: -10.1%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.6% Odds: 1.77 -3.4%
Over 3.5 35.7% Odds: 2.95 +5.3%
BTTS 55.3% Odds: 1.62 -10.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 0-0
4th 1-0
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Manly Utd
1.56
Blacktown City
1.24

Model Suggestion

BTTS -10.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+5.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 46%
Score Hit 37%
ROI 17.4%
Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away POOR (0.88)

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