Today / Fram vs Breidablik

Fram vs Breidablik Prediction

Friday, May 29, 2026

Fram

PPG 2.50 · HOME

4 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Breidablik

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-12.1%0-22.1%0-31.4%0-4+1.2%1 1-02.6%1-15.3%1-25.4%1-33.6%1-4+2.9%2 2-03.4%2-16.8%2-26.9%2-34.6%2-4+3.7%3 3-02.9%3-15.8%3-25.8%3-33.9%3-4+3.2%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-16.8%4+-26.8%4+-34.6%4+-4+3.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.7% — — —

Draw 20.7% — — —

Away win 30.5% — — —

Over 2.5 72.7% — — —

Over 3.5 54.6% — — —

BTTS 65.9% — — —

Home O1.5 72.3% — — —

Away O1.5 60.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-3

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob65.9%

H 49% / xG 2.5-2.0 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.9%

#2 2–1 6.8%

#3 1–1 5.3%

#4 3–2 5.8%

#5 3–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fram2.5

Breidablik2.0

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

FRAM · PPG 2.50

BREIDABLIK · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=48.7%

Win probability 1X2

Fram (H) 48.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Breidablik (A) 30.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fram face Breidablik on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fram a 49% chance, the draw 21% and Breidablik 31%, so Fram are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Fram and 2.0 for Breidablik (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fram are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.25 for Breidablik. This match finished 4-3.

Fram vs Breidablik Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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