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Australia - South Australia NPL logo Australia flag Australia - South Australia NPL Regular Season - 12 Jack Smith Park Friday, May 29, 2026 10:30
West Torrens logo West Torrens PPG 2.20
4-1 MISS
Adelaide Comets logo Adelaide Comets PPG 0.40
Home + Over 2.5· +13.3% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 55.6%
Odds: 1.57 EV: -12.7%
Draw 21.0%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -9.6%
Away 23.4%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -1.0%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.7% Odds: 1.44 -6.8%
Over 3.5 43.1% Odds: 2.05 -11.7%
BTTS 61.0% Odds: 1.50 -8.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-1
4th 3-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

West Torrens
2.51
Adelaide Comets
1.03

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -6.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -6.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home + Over 2.5 (+13.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs P(Home)=55.6%

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