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Sydney FC B vs WS Wanderers B Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Regular Season - 17 ·Friday, May 29, 2026, 09:30

Sydney FC B

PPG 1.56 · HOME

0 – 6

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

WS Wanderers B

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-17.3%0-26.3%0-33.6%0-4+2.3%1 1-06.0%1-110.4%1-29.1%1-35.2%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.3%2-17.5%2-26.5%2-33.8%2-4+2.4%3 3-02.1%3-13.6%3-23.1%3-31.8%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.8%4+-21.5%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.2% 47.6% 2.10 -26.1%

Draw 22.8% 27.4% 3.65 -10.1%

Away win 42.0% 35.1% 2.85 +19.7%

Over 2.5 64.1% 65.4% 1.53 -1.9%

Over 3.5 39.5% 42.6% 2.35 -7.2%

BTTS 61.0% 69.0% 1.45 -11.6%

Home O1.5 42.2% 56.5% 1.77 -25.3%

Away O1.5 51.7% 47.6% 2.10 +8.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 111 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -14.0%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-6

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob61.0%

A 42% / xG 1.4-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 0–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sydney FC B1.4

WS Wanderers B1.7

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SYDNEY FC B · PPG 1.56

WS WANDERERS B · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.56), Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

Sydney FC B (H) 35.2%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -26.1%

Draw 22.8%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -10.1%

WS Wanderers B (A) 42.0%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV +19.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sydney FC B face WS Wanderers B in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sydney FC B a 35% chance, the draw 23% and WS Wanderers B 42%, so WS Wanderers B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Sydney FC B and 1.7 for WS Wanderers B (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sydney FC B are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.67 for WS Wanderers B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +19.7%. This match finished 0-6.

Sydney FC B vs WS Wanderers B Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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