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North Star vs B. Strikers Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Friday, May 29, 2026, 10:15

North Star

PPG 0.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

B. Strikers

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.83) vs Home POOR (0.60)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-17.1%0-29.9%0-39.3%0-4+12.8%1 1-02.2%1-16.2%1-28.7%1-38.1%1-4+11.2%2 2-01.0%2-12.7%2-23.8%2-33.6%2-4+4.9%3 3-00.3%3-10.8%3-21.1%3-31.0%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.3%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.4% — — —

Draw 20.6% — — —

Away win 66.0% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 43.1% — — —

BTTS 56.2% — — —

Home O1.5 21.9% — — —

Away O1.5 76.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -0.9%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 65%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob56.2%

A 66% / xG 0.9-2.8 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 9.9%

#2 0–3 9.3%

#3 1–2 8.7%

#4 1–3 8.1%

#5 1–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

North Star0.9

B. Strikers2.8

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

NORTH STAR · PPG 0.60

B. STRIKERS · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.83) vs Home POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

North Star (H) 13.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

B. Strikers (A) 66.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

North Star face B. Strikers in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives North Star a 13% chance, the draw 21% and B. Strikers 66%, so B. Strikers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for North Star and 2.8 for B. Strikers (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, North Star are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 1.83 for B. Strikers.

North Star vs B. Strikers Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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