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Iberia vs Dinamo Batumi Prediction— Kosovo - Superliga

Semi-finals ·Friday, May 29, 2026, 14:00

Iberia

PPG 2.00 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Dinamo Batumi

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=49.8%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-17.7%0-23.4%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.6%1-112.0%1-25.3%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.6%2-19.3%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.5%3-14.8%3-22.1%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-12.7%4+-21.2%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.8% — — —

Draw 24.9% — — —

Away win 25.2% — — —

Over 2.5 48.5% — — —

Over 3.5 27.9% — — —

BTTS 51.9% — — —

Home O1.5 46.1% — — —

Away O1.5 22.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob51.9%

H 50% / xG 1.6-0.9 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–0 13.6%

#3 2–0 10.6%

#4 0–0 8.8%

#5 2–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Iberia1.6

Dinamo Batumi0.9

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.5% · O3.5 PROB 27.9%

Form & verdict PPG

IBERIA · PPG 2.00

DINAMO BATUMI · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=49.8%

Win probability 1X2

Iberia (H) 49.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dinamo Batumi (A) 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Iberia face Dinamo Batumi in Kosovo - Superliga on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Iberia a 50% chance, the draw 25% and Dinamo Batumi 25%, so Iberia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Iberia and 0.9 for Dinamo Batumi (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Iberia are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Dinamo Batumi. This match finished 0-2.