Australia - Victoria NPLRegular Season - 15Olympic Park Stadium· MelbourneFriday, May 29, 202609:30
Heidelberg UtdPPG 1.83
4-2MISS
Dandenong T.PPG 0.86
Away· +25.5%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home56.2%
Odds: 1.40EV: -21.3%
Draw22.6%
Odds: 4.20EV: -3.0%
Away21.1%
Odds: 6.75EV: +25.5%
Model lean: HomeNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.555.6%Odds: 1.70-5.5%
Over 3.536.2%Odds: 2.75-0.4%
BTTS52.1%Odds: 1.83-4.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st1-1✘
2nd2-0✘
3rd2-1✘
4th1-0✘
5th0-0✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Heidelberg Utd
1.95
Dandenong T.
0.90
Model Suggestion
Home-21.3%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -21.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Away (+25.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.83) vs P(Home)=56.2%