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Australia - Victoria NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL Regular Season - 15 Olympic Park Stadium· Melbourne Friday, May 29, 2026 09:30
Heidelberg Utd logo Heidelberg Utd PPG 1.83
4-2 MISS
Dandenong T. logo Dandenong T. PPG 0.86
Away· +25.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.2%
Odds: 1.40 EV: -21.3%
Draw 22.6%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -3.0%
Away 21.1%
Odds: 6.75 EV: +25.5%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.6% Odds: 1.70 -5.5%
Over 3.5 36.2% Odds: 2.75 -0.4%
BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.83 -4.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Heidelberg Utd
1.95
Dandenong T.
0.90

Model Suggestion

Home -21.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -21.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+25.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.83) vs P(Home)=56.2%

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