Today / Australia - Victoria NPL 2 / Brunswick City vs Manningham Utd

Brunswick City vs Manningham Utd Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Regular Season - 15 ·Friday, May 29, 2026, 09:30

Brunswick City

PPG 1.25 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Manningham Utd

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.8% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-13.8%0-23.7%0-32.4%0-4+1.8%1 1-03.9%1-17.6%1-27.4%1-34.8%1-4+3.6%2 2-03.9%2-17.5%2-27.3%2-34.7%2-4+3.6%3 3-02.6%3-15.0%3-24.8%3-33.1%3-4+2.4%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-13.9%4+-23.8%4+-32.4%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.0% 40.0% 2.50 +2.5%

Draw 22.7% 29.4% 3.40 -13.7%

Away win 36.3% 44.4% 2.25 -18.3%

Over 2.5 65.8% 69.4% 1.44 -5.3%

Over 3.5 43.1% 49.0% 2.04 -12.1%

BTTS 63.4% 73.5% 1.36 -13.8%

Home O1.5 58.8% 54.1% 1.85 +8.8%

Away O1.5 57.9% 56.8% 1.76 +1.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -15.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.4%

H 41% / xG 2.0-1.9 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.6%

#2 2–1 7.5%

#3 1–2 7.4%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 3–1✓ 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brunswick City2.0

Manningham Utd1.9

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BRUNSWICK CITY · PPG 1.25

MANNINGHAM UTD · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Win probability 1X2

Brunswick City (H) 41.0%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +2.5%

Draw 22.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -13.7%

Manningham Utd (A) 36.3%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -18.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brunswick City face Manningham Utd in Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brunswick City a 41% chance, the draw 23% and Manningham Utd 36%, so Brunswick City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Brunswick City and 1.9 for Manningham Utd (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brunswick City are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.17 for Manningham Utd. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +10.3%. This match finished 3-1.

Brunswick City vs Manningham Utd Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - Victoria NPL 2 Predictions