Today / Streymur B vs HB T. B

Streymur B vs HB T. B Prediction

Friday, May 29, 2026

Streymur B
PPG 0.50 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
HB T. B
PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-16.5%0-25.7%0-33.3%0-4+2.2%1 1-05.7%1-110.0%1-28.8%1-35.2%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.4%2-17.7%2-26.8%2-34.0%2-4+2.6%3 3-02.2%3-14.0%3-23.5%3-32.0%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.1%4+-21.9%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 35.2%
Draw 23.3%
Away win 41.5%
Over 2.5 64.1%
Over 3.5 39.5%
BTTS 61.0%
Home O1.5 45.6%
Away O1.5 52.6%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 43%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob61.0%

A 42% / xG 1.5-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%
#2 1–2 8.8%
#3 2–1 7.7%
#4 2–2 6.8%
#5 0–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Streymur B1.5
HB T. B1.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

STREYMUR B · PPG 0.50

HB T. B · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.20) vs Home POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Streymur B (H) 35.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
HB T. B (A) 41.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Streymur B face HB T. B on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Streymur B a 35% chance, the draw 23% and HB T. B 42%, so HB T. B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Streymur B and 1.8 for HB T. B (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Streymur B are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.20 for HB T. B. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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