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Kungsangen vs Franke Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand - 10 ·Friday, May 29, 2026, 17:00

Kungsangen

PPG 0.80 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Franke

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-19.3%0-29.8%0-36.9%0-4+5.9%1 1-04.5%1-19.4%1-29.9%1-37.0%1-4+6.0%2 2-02.3%2-14.8%2-25.0%2-33.5%2-4+3.1%3 3-00.8%3-11.6%3-21.7%3-31.2%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 21.0% 32.3% 3.10 -20.9%

Draw 22.3% 26.7% 3.75 -9.8%

Away win 56.8% 51.3% 1.95 +10.8%

Over 2.5 64.1% 67.6% 1.48 -5.1%

Over 3.5 39.5% 45.5% 2.20 -13.1%

BTTS 58.9% 70.4% 1.42 -16.4%

Home O1.5 27.0% 46.5% 2.15 -25.2%

Away O1.5 62.3% 60.6% 1.65 +2.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -22.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob58.9%

A 57% / xG 1.0-2.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 9.4%

#2 1–2 9.9%

#3 0–2 9.8%

#4 0–1 9.3%

#5 1–3 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kungsangen1.0

Franke2.1

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

KUNGSANGEN · PPG 0.80

FRANKE · PPG 0.75

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.80), Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Kungsangen (H) 21.0%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -20.9%

Draw 22.3%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -9.8%

Franke (A) 56.8%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV +10.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kungsangen face Franke in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kungsangen a 21% chance, the draw 22% and Franke 57%, so Franke are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Kungsangen and 2.1 for Franke (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kungsangen are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 0.75 for Franke. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +14.4%. This match finished 1-1.

Kungsangen vs Franke Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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