Today / Riteriai vs Suduva

Riteriai vs Suduva Prediction

Friday, May 29, 2026

Riteriai
PPG 0.33 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Suduva
PPG 0.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.33), Away POOR (0.57)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.1%0-119.1%0-218.0%0-311.3%0-4+8.2%1 1-04.1%1-17.7%1-27.3%1-34.6%1-4+3.3%2 2-00.8%2-11.6%2-21.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-00.1%3-10.2%3-20.2%3-30.1%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 13.3%
Draw 21.0%
Away win 65.7%
Over 2.5 48.5%
Over 3.5 27.9%
BTTS 45.5%
Home O1.5 6.3%
Away O1.5 56.3%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 43%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.4 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob45.5%

A 66% / xG 0.4-1.9 / U2.5 48% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 18.0%
#2 0–1 19.1%
#3 0–3 11.3%
#4 0–0 10.1%
#5 1–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Riteriai0.4
Suduva1.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.5% · O3.5 PROB 27.9%

Form & verdict PPG

RITERIAI · PPG 0.33

SUDUVA · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.33), Away POOR (0.57)

Win probability 1X2

Riteriai (H) 13.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Suduva (A) 65.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Riteriai face Suduva on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Riteriai a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Suduva 66%, so Suduva are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.4 for Riteriai and 1.9 for Suduva (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Riteriai are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 0.57 for Suduva.

PredictVantage

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