Today / Super Nova vs RFS

Super Nova vs RFS Prediction

Friday, May 29, 2026

Super Nova

PPG 0.83 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

RFS

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home POOR (0.83)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-112.5%0-213.2%0-39.3%0-4+8.0%1 1-04.2%1-18.9%1-29.4%1-36.7%1-4+5.7%2 2-01.5%2-13.2%2-23.4%2-32.4%2-4+2.1%3 3-00.4%3-10.8%3-20.8%3-30.6%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.4% — — —

Draw 20.8% — — —

Away win 65.8% — — —

Over 2.5 60.1% — — —

Over 3.5 36.2% — — —

BTTS 51.6% — — —

Home O1.5 16.2% — — —

Away O1.5 62.4% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 53%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob51.6%

A 66% / xG 0.7-2.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 13.2%

#2 0–1 12.5%

#3 1–1 8.9%

#4 1–2✓ 9.4%

#5 0–3 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Super Nova0.7

RFS2.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SUPER NOVA · PPG 0.83

RFS · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

Super Nova (H) 13.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

RFS (A) 65.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Super Nova face RFS on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Super Nova a 13% chance, the draw 21% and RFS 66%, so RFS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Super Nova and 2.1 for RFS (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Super Nova are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 3.00 for RFS. This match finished 1-2.

Super Nova vs RFS Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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