Today / Queens U vs Loughgall

Queens U vs Loughgall Prediction

Promotion Group - 37 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 14:00

Queens U

PPG 1.39 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Loughgall

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-112.5%0-27.0%0-32.6%0-4+0.9%1 1-012.0%1-113.4%1-27.5%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-06.4%2-17.2%2-24.0%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.3%3-12.6%3-21.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.9%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.2% — — —

Draw 29.2% — — —

Away win 36.6% — — —

Over 2.5 37.5% — — —

Over 3.5 17.9% — — —

BTTS 44.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob44.3%

D 29% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–1 12.5%

#3 1–0 12.0%

#4 0–0✓ 11.2%

#5 1–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Queens U1.1

Loughgall1.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.5% · O3.5 PROB 17.9%

Form & verdict PPG

QUEENS U · PPG 1.39

LOUGHGALL · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.39), Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Queens U (H) 34.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Loughgall (A) 36.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Queens U face Loughgall on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Queens U a 34% chance, the draw 29% and Loughgall 37%, so Loughgall are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Queens U and 1.1 for Loughgall (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Queens U are averaging 1.39 points per game versus 1.13 for Loughgall. This match finished 0-0.

Queens U vs Loughgall Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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