Today / Parndorf vs Marchfeld

Parndorf vs Marchfeld Prediction

Friday, May 29, 2026

Parndorf

PPG 2.07 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Marchfeld

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.07) vs P(Home)=48.6%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-18.1%0-24.6%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-010.8%1-112.2%1-26.9%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.2%2-19.2%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.1%3-14.6%3-22.6%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.4%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.6% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 27.1% — — —

Over 2.5 54.5% — — —

Over 3.5 34.5% — — —

BTTS 55.3% — — —

Home O1.5 44.5% — — —

Away O1.5 31.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.3%

H 49% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 2–1✓ 9.2%

#3 0–0 7.2%

#4 1–0 10.8%

#5 2–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Parndorf1.5

Marchfeld1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.5% · O3.5 PROB 34.5%

Form & verdict PPG

PARNDORF · PPG 2.07

MARCHFELD · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.07) vs P(Home)=48.6%

Win probability 1X2

Parndorf (H) 48.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Marchfeld (A) 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Parndorf face Marchfeld on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Parndorf a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Marchfeld 27%, so Parndorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Parndorf and 1.1 for Marchfeld (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Parndorf are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 1.20 for Marchfeld. This match finished 2-1.

Parndorf vs Marchfeld Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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