Today / Norway - Toppserien / Honefoss W vs Stabaek W

Honefoss W vs Stabaek W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Regular Season - 9 ·Friday, May 29, 2026, 16:00

Honefoss W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Stabaek W

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-18.3%0-210.0%0-38.0%0-4+8.5%1 1-03.3%1-18.0%1-29.6%1-37.7%1-4+8.1%2 2-01.6%2-13.8%2-24.6%2-33.7%2-4+3.9%3 3-00.5%3-11.2%3-21.5%3-31.2%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.4%4+-20.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.4% — — —

Draw 20.8% — — —

Away win 65.8% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 40.0% — — —

BTTS 55.3% — — —

Home O1.5 24.9% — — —

Away O1.5 69.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 27%

ROI -48.0%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob55.3%

A 66% / xG 1.0-2.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 10.0%

#2 1–2✓ 9.6%

#3 1–1 8.0%

#4 0–3 8.0%

#5 1–3 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Honefoss W1.0

Stabaek W2.4

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HONEFOSS W · PPG 1.00

STABAEK W · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Honefoss W (H) 13.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stabaek W (A) 65.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Honefoss W face Stabaek W in Norway - Toppserien on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Honefoss W a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Stabaek W 66%, so Stabaek W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Honefoss W and 2.4 for Stabaek W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Honefoss W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.40 for Stabaek W. This match finished 1-2.

Honefoss W vs Stabaek W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - Toppserien Predictions