Today / KTP vs SJK Akatemia

KTP vs SJK Akatemia Prediction

Friday, May 29, 2026

KTP

PPG 3.00 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

SJK Akatemia

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=55.5%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.7%0-17.1%0-21.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-021.9%1-110.0%1-22.3%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-015.3%2-17.0%2-21.6%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-07.1%3-13.2%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-11.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.5% — — —

Draw 26.0% — — —

Away win 18.5% — — —

Over 2.5 34.0% — — —

Over 3.5 18.6% — — —

BTTS 44.4% — — —

Home O1.5 40.7% — — —

Away O1.5 7.7% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob44.4%

H 56% / xG 1.4-0.5 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 21.9%

#2 0–0 15.7%

#3 2–0 15.3%

#4 1–1 10.0%

#5 3–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KTP1.4

SJK Akatemia0.5

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KTP · PPG 3.00

SJK AKATEMIA · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=55.5%

Win probability 1X2

KTP (H) 55.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

SJK Akatemia (A) 18.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

KTP face SJK Akatemia on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KTP a 56% chance, the draw 26% and SJK Akatemia 19%, so KTP are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for KTP and 0.5 for SJK Akatemia (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KTP are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 0.50 for SJK Akatemia. This match finished 1-0.

KTP vs SJK Akatemia Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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