Today / Liaoning Tieren vs Shanghai Port

Liaoning Tieren vs Shanghai Port Prediction

Friday, May 29, 2026

Liaoning Tieren

PPG 1.50 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Shanghai Port

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.83)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.4%0-110.3%0-26.3%0-32.6%0-4+1.0%1 1-010.6%1-112.9%1-27.9%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.6%2-18.1%2-24.9%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.7%3-13.4%3-22.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.4%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.7% — — —

Draw 27.9% — — —

Away win 31.4% — — —

Over 2.5 50.5% — — —

Over 3.5 30.1% — — —

BTTS 55.3% — — —

Home O1.5 35.5% — — —

Away O1.5 34.5% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.3%

H 41% / xG 1.2-1.2 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 8.4%

#3 1–0 10.6%

#4 0–1 10.3%

#5 2–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Liaoning Tieren1.3

Shanghai Port1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 30.1%

Form & verdict PPG

LIAONING TIEREN · PPG 1.50

SHANGHAI PORT · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

Liaoning Tieren (H) 40.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shanghai Port (A) 31.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Liaoning Tieren face Shanghai Port on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Liaoning Tieren a 41% chance, the draw 28% and Shanghai Port 31%, so Liaoning Tieren are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Liaoning Tieren and 1.2 for Shanghai Port (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Liaoning Tieren are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.83 for Shanghai Port. This match finished 3-2.

Liaoning Tieren vs Shanghai Port Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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