Today / Gebenbach vs Weiden

Gebenbach vs Weiden Prediction

Bayern Nord - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 14:00

Gebenbach

PPG 1.85 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Weiden

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.85) > Away GOOD (1.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-16.9%0-25.8%0-33.2%0-4+2.0%1 1-06.2%1-110.4%1-28.8%1-34.9%1-4+3.0%2 2-04.7%2-17.9%2-26.6%2-33.7%2-4+2.3%3 3-02.4%3-14.0%3-23.4%3-31.9%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.1%4+-21.8%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.8% — — —

Draw 23.4% — — —

Away win 41.8% — — —

Over 2.5 61.9% — — —

Over 3.5 39.6% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.5%

A 42% / xG 1.5-1.7 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 2–1 7.9%

#4 0–1✓ 6.9%

#5 2–2 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gebenbach1.5

Weiden1.7

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.9% · O3.5 PROB 39.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GEBENBACH · PPG 1.85

WEIDEN · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.85) > Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Gebenbach (H) 34.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Weiden (A) 41.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gebenbach face Weiden on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gebenbach a 35% chance, the draw 23% and Weiden 42%, so Weiden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Gebenbach and 1.7 for Weiden (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gebenbach are averaging 1.85 points per game versus 1.50 for Weiden. This match finished 0-1.

Gebenbach vs Weiden Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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