Today / Shanghai Jiadin vs Nantong Zhiyun

Shanghai Jiadin vs Nantong Zhiyun Prediction

Friday, May 29, 2026

Shanghai Jiadin
PPG 1.50 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
Nantong Zhiyun
PPG 0.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.1%0-116.0%0-27.1%0-32.1%0-4+0.6%1 1-015.0%1-113.2%1-25.8%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-06.2%2-15.5%2-22.4%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.7%3-11.5%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 36.2%
Draw 34.9%
Away win 28.9%
Over 2.5 33.6%
Over 3.5 18.6%
BTTS 45.5%
Home O1.5 20.1%
Away O1.5 22.1%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob45.5%

D 35% / xG 0.8-0.9 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.1%
#2 1–1 13.2%
#3 0–1 16.0%
#4 1–0 15.0%
#5 0–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shanghai Jiadin0.8
Nantong Zhiyun0.9

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.6% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SHANGHAI JIADIN · PPG 1.50

NANTONG ZHIYUN · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Shanghai Jiadin (H) 36.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 34.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Nantong Zhiyun (A) 28.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shanghai Jiadin face Nantong Zhiyun on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shanghai Jiadin a 36% chance, the draw 35% and Nantong Zhiyun 29%, so Shanghai Jiadin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Shanghai Jiadin and 0.9 for Nantong Zhiyun (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shanghai Jiadin are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.75 for Nantong Zhiyun. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org