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Traiskirchen vs Neusiedl Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 33 ·Thursday, May 28, 2026, 17:00

Traiskirchen

PPG 1.87 · HOME

2 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Neusiedl

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 87.1% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9% — a clear edge.

+13.2% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-11.0%0-20.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-03.2%1-13.7%1-22.1%1-30.8%1-4+0.3%2 2-05.7%2-16.6%2-23.8%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.8%3-17.8%3-24.5%3-31.7%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-015.2%4+-117.4%4+-29.9%4+-33.8%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.8% 67.6% 1.48 -5.6%

Draw 20.4% 21.1% 4.75 -1.9%

Away win 15.8% 22.2% 4.50 -17.3%

Over 2.5 71.7% 76.9% 1.30 -6.8%

Over 3.5 67.3% 54.9% 1.82 +22.5%

BTTS 59.7% 69.4% 1.44 -14.0%

Home O1.5 87.1% 76.9% 1.30 +13.2%

Away O1.5 31.7% 37.9% 2.64 -16.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-4

xG (home)3.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob59.7%

H 64% / xG 3.6-1.1 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.8%

#2 4–1 6.9%

#3 3–0 6.8%

#4 2–1 6.6%

#5 4–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Traiskirchen3.6

Neusiedl1.1

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.7% · O3.5 PROB 67.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TRAISKIRCHEN · PPG 1.87

NEUSIEDL · PPG 0.60

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.87) vs P(Home)=63.8%

Win probability 1X2

Traiskirchen (H) 63.8%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV -5.6%

Draw 20.4%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -1.9%

Neusiedl (A) 15.8%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -17.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Traiskirchen face Neusiedl in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Thursday, May 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Traiskirchen a 64% chance, the draw 20% and Neusiedl 16%, so Traiskirchen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.6 for Traiskirchen and 1.1 for Neusiedl (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Traiskirchen are averaging 1.87 points per game versus 0.60 for Neusiedl. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +28.5%. This match finished 2-4.

Traiskirchen vs Neusiedl Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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