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Jeddeloh vs HSC Hannover Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

North - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 14:00

Jeddeloh

PPG 2.00 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

HSC Hannover

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 87.3% vs bookmaker-implied 80.0% — a real, if thin, edge.

+9.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-10.7%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-02.7%1-12.8%1-21.5%1-30.5%1-4+0.2%2 2-05.3%2-15.6%2-22.9%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.0%3-17.3%3-23.8%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-019.4%4+-120.3%4+-210.6%4+-33.7%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 86.5% 66.7% 1.50 +29.8%

Draw 8.2% 21.7% 4.60 -62.3%

Away win 5.3% 21.1% 4.75 -74.8%

Over 2.5 87.3% 80.0% 1.25 +9.1%

Over 3.5 73.1% 59.9% 1.67 +22.1%

BTTS 63.5% 75.2% 1.33 -15.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 77%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 88%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)3.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob63.5%

H 86% / xG 3.9-1.0 / O2.5 87% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.3%

#2 4–1 7.2%

#3 3–0 7.0%

#4 4–0✓ 6.9%

#5 5–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jeddeloh3.9

HSC Hannover1.0

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 87.3% · O3.5 PROB 73.1%

Form & verdict PPG

JEDDELOH · PPG 2.00

HSC HANNOVER · PPG 0.86

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

98%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.86) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Jeddeloh (H) 86.5%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV +29.8%

Draw 8.2%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -62.3%

HSC Hannover (A) 5.3%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -74.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jeddeloh face HSC Hannover in Germany - Regionalliga - Nord on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jeddeloh a 87% chance, the draw 8% and HSC Hannover 5%, so Jeddeloh are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.9 for Jeddeloh and 1.0 for HSC Hannover (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 87% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jeddeloh are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.86 for HSC Hannover. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +29.8%. This match finished 4-0.

Jeddeloh vs HSC Hannover Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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