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Seoul W vs Incheon W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Regular Season - 9 ·Wednesday, May 27, 2026, 10:00

Seoul W

PPG 1.50 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Incheon W

PPG 2.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 56.4% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6% — a real, if thin, edge.

+1.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.2%0-117.6%0-212.6%0-36.1%0-4+3.0%1 1-08.1%1-111.7%1-28.4%1-34.0%1-4+2.0%2 2-02.7%2-13.9%2-22.8%2-31.3%2-4+0.7%3 3-00.6%3-10.9%3-20.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.9% 26.0% 3.85 -25.6%

Draw 28.7% 29.9% 3.35 -2.3%

Away win 56.4% 55.6% 1.80 +1.5%

Over 2.5 46.2% 54.1% 1.85 -14.5%

Over 3.5 16.2% 30.5% 3.28 -28.1%

BTTS 48.6% 55.6% 1.80 -12.5%

Home O1.5 14.3% 28.6% 3.50 -30.0%

Away O1.5 42.2% 53.2% 1.88 -20.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 22%

ROI 26.4%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob48.6%

A 56% / xG 0.7-1.4 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 17.6%

#2 0–0 12.2%

#3 1–1 11.7%

#4 0–2 12.6%

#5 1–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Seoul W0.7

Incheon W1.4

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 16.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SEOUL W · PPG 1.50

INCHEON W · PPG 2.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs Home GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Seoul W (H) 14.9%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -25.6%

Draw 28.7%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -2.3%

Incheon W (A) 56.4%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV +1.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Seoul W face Incheon W in South-Korea - WK-League on Wednesday, May 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Seoul W a 15% chance, the draw 29% and Incheon W 56%, so Incheon W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Seoul W and 1.4 for Incheon W (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Seoul W are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.33 for Incheon W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +1.5%. This match finished 2-1.

Seoul W vs Incheon W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Match Preview & Prediction

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