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Comunicaciones vs UAI Urquiza Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 5 ·Tuesday, May 26, 2026, 22:00

Comunicaciones

PPG 1.75 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

UAI Urquiza

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-031.3%0-116.2%0-24.2%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.1%1-110.4%1-22.7%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-06.5%2-13.4%2-20.9%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.4%3-10.7%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.0% 51.3% 1.95 -31.8%

Draw 41.0% 34.7% 2.88 +18.1%

Away win 24.0% 24.4% 4.10 -1.0%

Over 2.5 23.8% 35.7% 2.80 -20.0%

Over 3.5 3.1% 18.2% 5.50 -49.8%

BTTS 29.3% 43.5% 2.30 -19.6%

Home O1.5 13.7% 39.2% 2.55 -39.0%

Away O1.5 9.6% 22.2% 4.50 -34.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob29.3%

H 35% / xG 0.6-0.5 / U2.5 24% / NoBTTS 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 31.3%

#2 1–0 20.1%

#3 0–1 16.2%

#4 1–1 10.4%

#5 2–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Comunicaciones0.6

UAI Urquiza0.5

COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 23.8% · O3.5 PROB 3.1%

Form & verdict PPG

COMUNICACIONES · PPG 1.75

UAI URQUIZA · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Comunicaciones (H) 35.0%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -31.8%

Draw 41.0%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV +18.1%

UAI Urquiza (A) 24.0%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -1.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Comunicaciones face UAI Urquiza in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Comunicaciones a 35% chance, the draw 41% and UAI Urquiza 24%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.6 for Comunicaciones and 0.5 for UAI Urquiza (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Comunicaciones are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.13 for UAI Urquiza. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +18.1%. This match finished 3-0.

Comunicaciones vs UAI Urquiza Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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