Today / Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana / Brown de A. vs Talleres R. E.

Brown de A. vs Talleres R. E. Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 5 ·Tuesday, May 26, 2026, 22:00

Brown de A.

PPG 0.86 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Talleres R. E.

PPG 1.88 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-030.5%0-125.7%0-210.8%0-33.0%0-4+0.8%1 1-010.5%1-18.8%1-23.7%1-31.0%1-4+0.3%2 2-01.8%2-11.5%2-20.6%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-00.2%3-10.2%3-20.1%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.4% 33.3% 3.00 -34.1%

Draw 42.7% 36.4% 2.75 +17.4%

Away win 42.9% 40.8% 2.45 +5.1%

Over 2.5 23.8% 32.3% 3.10 -15.7%

Over 3.5 3.3% 15.4% 6.50 -47.1%

BTTS 29.3% 42.0% 2.38 -18.2%

Home O1.5 4.7% 25.6% 3.90 -49.0%

Away O1.5 20.7% 30.8% 3.25 -19.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob29.3%

A 43% / xG 0.3-0.8 / U2.5 24% / NoBTTS 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 30.5%

#2 0–1 25.7%

#3 0–2 10.8%

#4 1–1 8.8%

#5 1–0 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brown de A.0.3

Talleres R. E.0.8

COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 23.8% · O3.5 PROB 3.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BROWN DE A. · PPG 0.86

TALLERES R. E. · PPG 1.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.88) vs Home POOR (0.86)

Win probability 1X2

Brown de A. (H) 14.4%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -34.1%

Draw 42.7%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +17.4%

Talleres R. E. (A) 42.9%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +5.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brown de A. face Talleres R. E. in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brown de A. a 14% chance, the draw 43% and Talleres R. E. 43%, so Talleres R. E. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.3 for Brown de A. and 0.8 for Talleres R. E. (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brown de A. are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 1.88 for Talleres R. E.. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +17.4%. This match finished 1-2.

Brown de A. vs Talleres R. E. Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana Predictions