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Brown de A. vs Talleres R. E. Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Matchday 5 ·Tuesday, May 26, 2026, 22:00

Brown de A.

PPG 0.86 · HOME

LAST 5

WLDLD

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Talleres R. E.

PPG 1.88 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLDW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-030.5%0-125.7%0-210.8%0-33.0%0-4+0.8%1 1-010.5%1-18.8%1-23.7%1-31.0%1-4+0.3%2 2-01.8%2-11.5%2-20.6%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-00.2%3-10.2%3-20.1%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.4% 33.3% 3.00 -34.1%

Draw 42.7% 36.4% 2.75 +17.4%

Away win 42.9% 40.8% 2.45 +5.1%

Over 2.5 23.8% 32.3% 3.10 -15.7%

Over 3.5 3.3% 15.4% 6.50 -47.1%

BTTS 29.3% 42.0% 2.38 -18.2%

Home O1.5 4.7% 25.6% 3.90 -49.0%

Away O1.5 20.7% 30.8% 3.25 -19.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 173 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 68%

ROI 17.6%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob29.3%

A 43% / xG 0.3-0.8 / U2.5 24% / NoBTTS 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 30.5%

#2 0–1 25.7%

#3 0–2 10.8%

#4 1–1 8.8%

#5 1–0 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brown de A.0.3

Talleres R. E.0.8

COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 23.8% · O3.5 PROB 3.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BROWN DE A. · PPG 0.86

TALLERES R. E. · PPG 1.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

Chance this pick lands

43%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.88) vs Home POOR (0.86)

Win probability 1X2

Brown de A. (H) 14.4%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -34.1%

Draw 42.7%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +17.4%

Talleres R. E. (A) 42.9%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +5.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brown de A. face Talleres R. E. in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brown de A. a 14% chance, the draw 43% and Talleres R. E. 43%, so Talleres R. E. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.3 for Brown de A. and 0.8 for Talleres R. E. (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brown de A. are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 1.88 for Talleres R. E.. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +17.4%. This match finished 1-2.

Brown de A. vs Talleres R. E. Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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