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Flandria vs Arsenal Sarandi Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 5 ·Tuesday, May 26, 2026, 18:30

Flandria

PPG 1.25 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Arsenal Sarandi

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 55.3% vs bookmaker-implied 45.5% — a clear edge.

+21.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.7%0-122.1%0-213.8%0-35.8%0-4+2.4%1 1-08.5%1-110.7%1-26.7%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-02.1%2-12.6%2-21.6%2-30.7%2-4+0.3%3 3-00.3%3-10.4%3-20.3%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.6% 29.4% 3.40 -30.2%

Draw 30.0% 34.7% 2.88 -13.6%

Away win 55.3% 45.5% 2.20 +21.7%

Over 2.5 35.0% 35.1% 2.85 -0.3%

Over 3.5 9.8% 20.0% 5.00 -30.6%

BTTS 46.2% 44.4% 2.25 +4.0%

Home O1.5 8.5% 25.3% 3.95 -39.9%

Away O1.5 35.6% 35.7% 2.80 -0.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob46.2%

A 55% / xG 0.5-1.3 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 22.1%

#2 0–0✓ 17.7%

#3 0–2 13.8%

#4 1–1 10.7%

#5 1–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Flandria0.5

Arsenal Sarandi1.3

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 9.8%

Form & verdict PPG

FLANDRIA · PPG 1.25

ARSENAL SARANDI · PPG 2.00

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Flandria (H) 14.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -30.2%

Draw 30.0%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -13.6%

Arsenal Sarandi (A) 55.3%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +21.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Flandria face Arsenal Sarandi in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flandria a 15% chance, the draw 30% and Arsenal Sarandi 55%, so Arsenal Sarandi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for Flandria and 1.3 for Arsenal Sarandi (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flandria are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 2.00 for Arsenal Sarandi. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +21.7%. This match finished 0-0.

Flandria vs Arsenal Sarandi Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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