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Dock Sud vs Real Pilar Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 5 ·Tuesday, May 26, 2026, 18:30

Dock Sud

PPG 1.50 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Real Pilar

PPG 1.88 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.8%0-114.6%0-26.3%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.4%1-113.4%1-25.8%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-07.0%2-16.1%2-22.6%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.1%3-11.9%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.3% 32.3% 3.10 +15.6%

Draw 35.1% 38.2% 2.62 -8.0%

Away win 27.7% 39.2% 2.55 -17.6%

Over 2.5 35.0% 28.6% 3.50 +22.5%

Over 3.5 10.6% 14.3% 7.00 -15.5%

BTTS 48.0% 39.2% 2.55 +22.4%

Home O1.5 23.3% 23.8% 4.20 -1.3%

Away O1.5 21.6% 28.2% 3.55 -14.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.0%

D 35% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.8%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 1–0 15.4%

#4 0–1 14.6%

#5 2–0✓ 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dock Sud0.9

Real Pilar0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 10.6%

Form & verdict PPG

DOCK SUD · PPG 1.50

REAL PILAR · PPG 1.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.50) vs Away GOOD (1.88)

Win probability 1X2

Dock Sud (H) 37.3%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +15.6%

Draw 35.1%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -8.0%

Real Pilar (A) 27.7%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -17.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dock Sud face Real Pilar in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dock Sud a 37% chance, the draw 35% and Real Pilar 28%, so Dock Sud are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Dock Sud and 0.9 for Real Pilar (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dock Sud are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.88 for Real Pilar. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +22.5%. This match finished 2-0.

Dock Sud vs Real Pilar Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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