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Camioneros vs V. San Carlos Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 5 ·Tuesday, May 26, 2026, 18:30

Camioneros

PPG 1.75 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

V. San Carlos

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.9%0-110.6%0-23.3%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.4%1-112.2%1-23.8%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.2%2-17.0%2-22.2%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.3%3-12.7%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.0%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.3% 51.3% 1.95 -9.7%

Draw 32.1% 33.9% 2.95 -5.3%

Away win 21.6% 25.6% 3.90 -9.5%

Over 2.5 35.0% 37.0% 2.70 -5.5%

Over 3.5 10.5% 18.2% 5.50 -25.4%

BTTS 46.2% 45.5% 2.20 +1.6%

Home O1.5 31.9% 40.8% 2.45 -21.8%

Away O1.5 13.1% 23.1% 4.33 -26.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob46.2%

H 46% / xG 1.1-0.6 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.9%

#2 1–0 19.4%

#3 1–1 12.2%

#4 2–0 11.2%

#5 0–1 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Camioneros1.1

V. San Carlos0.6

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 10.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CAMIONEROS · PPG 1.75

V. SAN CARLOS · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=46.3%

Win probability 1X2

Camioneros (H) 46.3%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -9.7%

Draw 32.1%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -5.3%

V. San Carlos (A) 21.6%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -9.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Camioneros face V. San Carlos in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Camioneros a 46% chance, the draw 32% and V. San Carlos 22%, so Camioneros are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Camioneros and 0.6 for V. San Carlos (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Camioneros are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.71 for V. San Carlos. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +1.6%. This match finished 3-0.

Camioneros vs V. San Carlos Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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