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Valerenga W vs Bodo/Glimt W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Regular Season - 8 ·Tuesday, May 26, 2026, 16:00

Valerenga W

PPG 1.80 · HOME

7 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Bodo/Glimt W

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home team in GOOD form (1.80), Away POOR (0.33) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.3%0-10.2%0-20.0%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-01.8%1-10.8%1-20.2%1-30.0%1-4+0.0%2 2-04.6%2-12.1%2-20.5%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-08.1%3-13.7%3-20.8%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-048.5%4+-122.2%4+-25.1%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 89.9% — — —

Draw 6.8% — — —

Away win 3.2% — — —

Over 2.5 79.0% — — —

Over 3.5 81.9% — — —

BTTS 47.6% — — —

Home O1.5 96.7% — — —

Away O1.5 7.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 27%

ROI -48.0%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 7-1

xG (home)5.2 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob47.6%

H 90% / xG 5.2-0.5 / O2.5 79% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–0 11.1%

#2 4–0 10.6%

#3 3–0 8.1%

#4 5–1 5.1%

#5 4–1 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Valerenga W5.2

Bodo/Glimt W0.5

COMBINED 5.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.0% · O3.5 PROB 81.9%

Form & verdict PPG

VALERENGA W · PPG 1.80

BODO/GLIMT W · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.80), Away POOR (0.33) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Valerenga W (H) 89.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 6.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bodo/Glimt W (A) 3.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Valerenga W face Bodo/Glimt W in Norway - Toppserien on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Valerenga W a 90% chance, the draw 7% and Bodo/Glimt W 3%, so Valerenga W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 5.2 for Valerenga W and 0.5 for Bodo/Glimt W (5.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-0. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Valerenga W are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 0.33 for Bodo/Glimt W. This match finished 7-1.

Valerenga W vs Bodo/Glimt W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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