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Stabaek W vs Haugesund W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Regular Season - 8 ·Tuesday, May 26, 2026, 16:00

Stabaek W

PPG 0.33 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Haugesund W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-15.5%0-22.8%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.3%1-110.5%1-25.3%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.7%2-19.9%2-25.1%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.1%3-16.3%3-23.2%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-14.6%4+-22.3%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.5% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 23.1% — — —

Over 2.5 59.1% — — —

Over 3.5 33.3% — — —

BTTS 54.4% — — —

Home O1.5 56.4% — — —

Away O1.5 27.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 27%

ROI -48.0%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.4%

H 52% / xG 1.9-1.0 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.7%

#4 1–0 10.3%

#5 0–0 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stabaek W1.9

Haugesund W1.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 33.3%

Form & verdict PPG

STABAEK W · PPG 0.33

HAUGESUND W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength ...

48%

CAUTION_HOME

Caution: Away form (1.00) strong but model favors Home (P=52.5%)

Win probability 1X2

Stabaek W (H) 52.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Haugesund W (A) 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stabaek W face Haugesund W in Norway - Toppserien on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stabaek W a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Haugesund W 23%, so Stabaek W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Stabaek W and 1.0 for Haugesund W (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stabaek W are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Haugesund W. This match finished 3-0.

Stabaek W vs Haugesund W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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